Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $488.29
- Potential payout
- $702.68
- Potential profit
- $214.39
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $189.15
Polymarket Trader
MrBytes
0x88d93ec3d095db57d6f912fd198c79aa44a22dd5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $488.29
- Realized PnL
- -$737.8
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $96.73
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $6.92
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- -$16.3
Yes position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.17
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$71.31
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$87.9
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$109.25
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$129.15
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$160.83
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$215.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 40% 31.75 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 26.8% 48.24 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 39% 257.93 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 44% 15 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 45% 413 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 34.5% 298.24 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 69% 30 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 69% 267.02 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 48% 45.68 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 47% 396.06 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 26.7% 714.1 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 24.2% 109.99 shares