No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $99.75K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- $350
Polymarket Trader
pakukudolphi
0x88e2b1b6c7847828fc91af43aba2fee07fb07489
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $169.82K
- Realized PnL
- $274.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $29.48K
- Potential payout
- $29.73K
- Potential profit
- $252.69
- User PnL
- $6.15K
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $24.71K
- Potential payout
- $25.23K
- Potential profit
- $517.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $244.38
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $6.89K
- Potential payout
- $7.05K
- Potential profit
- $162.24
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.72K
- Potential payout
- $6.25K
- Potential profit
- $531.44
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $3.18K
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $495.99
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $184.89
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $33.82
- Potential payout
- $656.63
- Potential profit
- $622.81
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $535.16
- Potential profit
- $526.06
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$76.53
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $52.03
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $33.97
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $10.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.09K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.22K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.54K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.61K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.99K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.75K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.17K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69K
No position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 97.4% 17,428.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 4,206.09 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 13,010.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99% 101.42 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 33% 3,213.8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 92% 20,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 54.8% 13,648.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 23.6% 4,118 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 45% 5,114.4 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 46.2% 4,176.15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 21.5% 10,321.37 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 58.6% 8,704.69 shares