Polymarket Trader

Quarzo

0x88ee376120bfcf1daf5642c5d8a6b45d7637c234

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.43K
Realized PnL: -$8.14K
Win rate: 21.1%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.69K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $315
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $135

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $2.92K
Potential profit: $307.08
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $102.36

Yes position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $2.09K
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $555.23
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$71.59

Yes position

Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.51K
User PnL: -$175.47

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $264.75
Potential payout: $756.44
Potential profit: $491.69
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$214.35

No position

Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $673.05
Potential profit: $673.05
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $221.37
Potential payout: $309.6
Potential profit: $88.24
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $76.68

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $113.46
Potential payout: $241.4
Potential profit: $127.94
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $55.41

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $209.09
Potential payout: $209.4
Potential profit: $0.31
User PnL: $23.73

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$21.7

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $130
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $70
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $90

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $82.39
Potential payout: $107
Potential profit: $24.61
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $11.77

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$81

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $19.71
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $632.36

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $91.71

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.55

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$20.24

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$54

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$84.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$181.27

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.51K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.75K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.41K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 91% 100 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 48.8% 775.1 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 14% 106.5 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 43% 433.49 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 24% 241.4 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 938 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 66% 107 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 11% 200 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 91% 90 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?

Yes 48% 204.44 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 33% 106.5 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?

Yes 69% 552 shares