Polymarket Trader

ksieciuiu

0x88f56d194c1eea18270ae21a692751353c3c828a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $767.35
Realized PnL: $3.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $889.1
Potential profit: $889.1
User PnL: -$4.39

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $612.18
Potential payout: $641.03
Potential profit: $28.85
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $112.18

No position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $403.23
Potential profit: $403.23
User PnL: -$250

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2.9

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$50

No position

Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $155.17
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $17.24
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $5.17

Yes position

Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$75

No position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.14
Potential profit: $145.14
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.84
Potential profit: $131.84
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$50

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.18
Potential profit: $56.18
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.54
Potential profit: $55.54
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$12.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$12.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$12.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.33

No position

Skye Valadez confirmed perp?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398.7

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.81

Yes position

Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.81

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.06

Down position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.7

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $4100 September 8–14?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.4

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.1

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.61

No position

Will Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.04

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.88

Yes position

Will Powell say "Payroll" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.49

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.19

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.97

Yes position

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.75

No position

Will Trump say "God" or "Evil" 7+ times during 9-11 memorial event?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.52

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $107K August 25–31?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.35

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 September 22-28?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.96

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $87000 on Mar 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.76

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.51

Mateusz Gamrot position

UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 78% 641.03 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 75.4% 301.21 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 1-7?

No 99.9% 750.75 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 99% 273.97 shares
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 92.2% 108.46 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?

No 99.5% 582.91 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 6?

Yes 0.1% 2,751 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

No 76.1% 197.1 shares
Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?

No 47% 20 shares
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?

Down 2.1% 199.99 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?

Up 0.1% 1,000 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?

Up 0.3% 500 shares