Polymarket Trader

darkus

@kyparus

0x88fe0cb92deca0c8460b313ab4aad55f0c02f516

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.88K
Realized PnL: $7.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $202.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.8K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$97.5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.23K
Potential profit: $7.23K
User PnL: -$390.36

Yes position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.43K
Potential payout: $5.43K
Potential profit: $8.15
User PnL: $126.2

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $455.88
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$44.11

No position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.49K
User PnL: -$2.06K

No position

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.19K
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $1.09
User PnL: $188.28

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.52
User PnL: $9.61

Yes position

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $235.71
Potential payout: $857.14
Potential profit: $621.43
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $115.72

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $835.3
Potential profit: $835.3
User PnL: -$690.97

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $146.63
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $603.38
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $86.63

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $641.03
Potential profit: $641.03
User PnL: -$25

Tate position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $624.06
Potential profit: $624.06
User PnL: -$524.21

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $543.59
Potential profit: $543.59
User PnL: -$515

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $482.5
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$47.5

No position

Will Trump say "Trump" during events with Polish president on September 3?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $480.37
Potential profit: $480.37
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Binance be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $468.75
Potential profit: $468.75
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $434.78
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $195.6
Potential payout: $411.78
Potential profit: $216.19
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$104.4

No position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410.96
Potential profit: $410.96
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will another company be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$104

Yes position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $354.12
Potential profit: $354.12
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will "Legendary" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $341.39
Potential profit: $341.39
User PnL: -$300

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Usyk beat Fury?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $572.42

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $565.9

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $557.36

No position

Boxing: Will Dubois win by KO/TKO/DQ?

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $528.67

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.89

No position

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.84

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.54

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.73

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,600 on July 25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.71

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.29

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.33

Yes position

Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.3

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.61

Yes position

Will Pump.fun dip to $0.003 before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.69

No position

Will Sydney Sweeney rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.19

Yes position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.86

No position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.23

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.64

No position

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.93

No position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 857.14 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 17% 2,941.18 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Yes 97.5% 5,434.35 shares
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?

Yes 40.8% 98.13 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 25.8% 783.82 shares
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Yes 44% 227.27 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 31.9% 281.8 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 61.6% 68.02 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 17% 235.29 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 32.8% 304.5 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 79.8% 250.63 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 500 shares