Polymarket Trader

0x890030e12228435185237D977541B63b52a04d52-1777128993151

0x890030e12228435185237d977541b63b52a04d52

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.97K
Realized PnL: $1.93K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.41K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $27.34
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$604.62

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $163.95
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $31.4

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $29.44
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $709.7
Potential payout: $940
Potential profit: $230.3
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $16.21

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $827.56
Potential profit: $827.56
User PnL: -$10

No position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $751.6
Potential payout: $763.04
Potential profit: $11.45
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $51.6

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $733.8
Potential profit: $733.8
User PnL: -$55.26

No position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.29
Potential profit: $499.29
User PnL: -$145

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $56.86
Potential payout: $385.46
Potential profit: $328.61
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $19.47

Yes position

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 16.6%
Current value: $50.09
Potential payout: $302.63
Potential profit: $252.55
Multiplier: 6.04x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $116.68
Potential payout: $169.13
Potential profit: $52.45
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $29.24

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.48
Potential profit: $120.48
User PnL: -$100

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.75
Potential profit: $38.75
User PnL: -$27.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $719.45

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.13

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.17

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.24

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.46

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.68

Yes position

Claude 4.8 released by June 15?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.13

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.89

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.1

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $77.69

Alexander Volkov position

UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.26

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.9

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.08

Yes position

Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.99

No position

Kash Patel out by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.09

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.86

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $16.62

Yes position

Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $3.1

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 32% 103.44 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 53.4% 130 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 46% 39.13 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15% 130 shares
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes 23.1% 302.63 shares
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Yes 66% 121.21 shares
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Yes 67.8% 420 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 29% 103.45 shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 75% 140 shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 74% 450 shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 73% 350 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 86% 1,395.35 shares