No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.35
Polymarket Trader
tarquinmiley7730
0x890a5ce752722e04d96c26f8e87d2b04fc0286f1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $8.61
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.35
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 51% 8 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 51% 44 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes 4.4% 78 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes 4.2% 78 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 76.2% 61 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.2% 49 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.2% 49 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 2.3% 89 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 2.6% 89 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 96% 54 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 64% 68 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 41.7% 79 shares