No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $33
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $167
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x8919787ab5e352fdAB1caEfBDf9745231177d64e-1774101501097
0x8919787ab5e352fdab1caefbdf9745231177d64e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $401.76
- Realized PnL
- $613.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $153
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $47
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $121
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $79
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $38.47
- Potential payout
- $197.29
- Potential profit
- $158.82
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$20.72
Y
Yes position
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $45.2
- Potential payout
- $158.65
- Potential profit
- $113.45
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$32.54
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $10.7
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $9.69
- Potential profit
- $5.77
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $4.82
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $3.21
- Potential profit
- $2.23
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.82
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 13% 60 shares
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?No 47% 33.6 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 7.1% 161.7 shares
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?No 40% 29.79 shares
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 44% 6.25 shares
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 50% 97.82 shares
- Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 54% 176.7 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 35% 200 shares
- Will Jack Grealish join Everton?No 33% 5 shares
- Will Jack Grealish join Everton?No 38% 75 shares
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?No 41% 54.78 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?No 40% 200 shares