No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$90
Polymarket Trader
Underdogkid
0x891e9fbb986c062eff98de400676ecb89a12c1c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $393.5
- Realized PnL
- -$1.01K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.76K
- Potential profit
- $16.76K
- User PnL
- -$162.31
Yes position
Will Bradley Barcola be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $7.48
- Potential payout
- $14.95K
- Potential profit
- $14.94K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.42
Yes position
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.44K
- Potential profit
- $13.44K
- User PnL
- -$94
Yes position
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.99
- Potential payout
- $11.98K
- Potential profit
- $11.97K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.95
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.14K
- Potential profit
- $8.14K
- User PnL
- -$88.99
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $373.59
- Potential payout
- $5.98K
- Potential profit
- $5.6K
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- $338
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.53K
- Potential profit
- $5.53K
- User PnL
- -$43.99
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.18K
- Potential profit
- $5.18K
- User PnL
- -$94.98
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $6.45
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$29.56
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be greater than 9.5m?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- -$96
Yes position
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $3.3K
- User PnL
- -$97
Yes position
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $2.88K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- User PnL
- -$252.09
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$49
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$64
Yes position
Will Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$24.3
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.42
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.08
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.19
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.25
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.1
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.25
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.25
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.19
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10–15%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 16m?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.37
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$101
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$145
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$251
Yes position
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$370.41
Yes position
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1% 21 shares
- Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.7% 3,600 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15% 14.02 shares
- Will Bradley Barcola be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 5,000 shares
- Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 10,419.75 shares
- Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 1,877.36 shares
- Will Bradley Barcola be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 9,950.94 shares
- Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 1.8% 750 shares
- Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 14% 125 shares
- Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 23% 125 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 98.1% 100 shares