Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $5.09K
- Potential profit
- $3.89K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $196.32
Polymarket Trader
kosmical
0x8923b7f03d996afd5e7fb45bd4672a15e4111f6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.2K
- Realized PnL
- $616.27
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.5
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $328.68
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.57
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$243.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19.6% 5,090.71 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No 40% 1,482.24 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No 37% 94 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 80.1% 600 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?No 9.2% 1,083.35 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No 28.5% 700.63 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 32.8% 610.5 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 43.2% 231.31 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No 19% 1,578.95 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 50% 600 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 35.1% 1,299.92 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 38.5% 1,299.93 shares