No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.4%
- Current value
- $11.68
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $22.32
- Multiplier
- 2.91x
- User PnL
- $1.89
Polymarket Trader
0x892f...7a4b
0x892f5c7f70d8218b5594e10d3d37a495a3577a4b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $18.03
- Realized PnL
- -$2.18
- Win rate
- 41.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $21.42
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$2.66
No position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $5.76
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.95
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.85
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$10.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 6.9% 20 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 10 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 77% 7 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Yes 3.8% 40 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 91% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 50.2% 8 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 92.5% 10 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 81% 8 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 93.1% 6 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 82% 9 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 19% 7 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Yes 15% 12 shares