Polymarket Trader

4bet

0x893b43e0a2031be941c75a852fbdc6b72527f5ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.71K
Realized PnL: $44.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $3.98K
Potential payout: $204.2K
Potential profit: $200.22K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.12K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $23.85K
Potential profit: $22.46K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$1.16K

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.69K
Potential profit: $21.69K
User PnL: -$5.86K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.31K
Potential profit: $18.31K
User PnL: -$2.8K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $795.09
Potential payout: $7.76K
Potential profit: $6.96K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$205.56

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $913.37
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $703.5
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$2.06

No position

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $72.8
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $107.21

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$920

Yes position

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $899.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$548.55

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $7.7
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $542.3
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$487.3

No position

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $364
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $36
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $88

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5K

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

Yes position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74K

No position

Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.66K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $804.99

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $706.93

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $628.51

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $570

No position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $522.03

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503.99

No position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503.42

No position

Weed rescheduled in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $498.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Portugal 27% 17,976.87 shares
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 61% 300 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 20.6% 3,999.88 shares
Iran nuclear test before 2027?

No 93% 858.32 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.9% 7,757 shares
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Yes 97.3% 3,000 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 15.7% 23,503.82 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 81% 5,439.99 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 98.2% 5,907.03 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 98% 15,642.97 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.7% 23,851 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 204,200 shares