Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$7.5K
Polymarket Trader
0x8944eD4CdfE92111907e796Bbb9920368537C3FD-1768171057284
0x8944ed4cdfe92111907e796bbb9920368537c3fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.55K
- Realized PnL
- $184.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $21.8K
- Potential profit
- $20.79K
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$2.58K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $20.44K
- Potential profit
- $18.9K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.47K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.8K
- Potential profit
- $10.8K
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$600
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$450
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$850
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$1.25K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 11% 1,800 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 14% 10,000 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes 12% 5,000 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No 96.4% 5,184.16 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 48.9% 20,436.74 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 20% 25,000 shares