Polymarket Trader

PatrickParrish6386

@AddyDrina53468

0x89595e1d2e906d238fa8190fdd49215cc16150f8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.22K
Realized PnL: $786.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $603
Potential payout: $603
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $102.51

No position

Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $503
Potential profit: $503
User PnL: -$447.67

No position

Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $451
Potential profit: $451
User PnL: -$54.12

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352
Potential profit: $352
User PnL: -$260.48

Yes position

Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $17.52
Potential payout: $302
Potential profit: $284.48
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$9.66

Yes position

Will the US strike Syria next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244
Potential profit: $244
User PnL: -$65.88

Yes position

Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222
Potential profit: $222
User PnL: -$33.3

No position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $107.29
Potential payout: $154.4
Potential profit: $47.11
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $54.8

No position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $126.9
Potential payout: $141
Potential profit: $14.1
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $27.28

No position

Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $123
Potential payout: $123
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $16.85

Yes position

Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $103
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $13.39

Yes position

Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $55.25
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$15.6

Yes position

Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $48
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.76

Yes position

Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$4.68

Yes position

Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$17.85

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.01
Potential profit: $34.01
User PnL: -$10.2

No position

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $28.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $27
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.59

Yes position

Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $12.73

Yes position

Will "Trump" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$3.76

Yes position

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $103.73

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.22

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.12

No position

Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.28

Yes position

Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.04

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $36.8

Yes position

Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.28

No position

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.22

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $32.05

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.02

Yes position

Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.4

No position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $24.16

Yes position

Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.12

Yes position

Will the 2025–2026 edition of Dick Clark's New Year's Rockin' Eve have between 22.5 million and 25 million viewers?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.86

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.35

Yes position

Will ENA: Dream BBQ win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.97

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.17

No position

Will Exponent launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.04

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.21

Yes position

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $16.8

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $15.58

Yes position

Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.3

Yes position

Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.1

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?

Yes 19% 26 shares
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

No 17% 5 shares
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

No 17% 2.6 shares
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

No 17% 29 shares
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

No 17% 67 shares
Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?

No 86.3% 123 shares
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 35% 193 shares
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl?

No 83% 519 shares
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

No 34% 258 shares
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl?

No 83% 84 shares
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 34% 193 shares
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?

No 74% 352 shares