Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $29.4
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $18.49
Polymarket Trader
0x8960...d44d
0x8960ca50c4b0e94b084e61f822810a77c3d6d44d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $29.44
- Realized PnL
- $22.24
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.96
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.65
Yes position
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Yes position
Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Crystal Palace be relegated?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Sam Altman arrested before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers?Yes 52% 12 shares
- Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Yes 83% 11 shares
- Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Yes 83% 11 shares
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No 98.9% 33.94 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No 97.6% 5.31 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No 97.7% 28.72 shares
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?Yes 0.2% 34.06 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 94% 2 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 93.2% 2 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No 97.5% 37 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 12.5% 37 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 87.7% 37 shares