No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $490.56
- Potential payout
- $601.99
- Potential profit
- $111.43
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.95
Polymarket Trader
Russel23
0x8966a1e0996a5fe20c64ce976e71d63204465d80
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $982.26
- Realized PnL
- $6.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $375.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $24.2
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $33.82
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $342.39
- Potential profit
- $342.39
- User PnL
- -$312.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $115.9
- Potential payout
- $179.69
- Potential profit
- $63.79
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $25.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $626.04
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.25
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $509
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.77
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.53
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.42
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.16
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.91
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.42
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.79
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $105.42
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.28
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.6
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
No position
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.49
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.55
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $52.65
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.96
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.43
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 48% 94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 49% 94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 51% 62.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 86% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 85% 130 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 75% 305 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 93.8% 0.99 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 93.8% 286 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 94% 246.82 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 6% 500 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 94% 82.27 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 33.7% 237.23 shares