No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
Owh
0x896abe20dc9b5dbfd3ad80feab72604237895b48
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $307.48
- Realized PnL
- -$2.79
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$119.09
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $62.92
- Potential payout
- $188.68
- Potential profit
- $125.75
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- $12.92
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $161.29
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.84
- Potential profit
- $135.84
- User PnL
- -$94.85
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.81
- Potential profit
- $118.81
- User PnL
- -$79
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $79.43
- Potential payout
- $117.67
- Potential profit
- $38.24
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $29.43
Yes position
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $116.28
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.32
- Potential profit
- $108.32
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $78.95
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $68.96
- Potential payout
- $77.92
- Potential profit
- $8.96
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.48
- Potential profit
- $77.48
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.05
- Potential profit
- $71.05
- User PnL
- -$54
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $54.46
- Potential payout
- $59.52
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.46
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Current value
- $41.7
- Potential payout
- $49.79
- Potential profit
- $8.09
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.18
- Potential profit
- $49.18
- User PnL
- -$30
August Holmgren position
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs August Holmgren
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.84
- Potential profit
- $30.84
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.54
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.59
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.03
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.83
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.27
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.77
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.69
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.58
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.65
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05
Yes position
Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.23
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$25.42
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$46.86
Yes position
Will Trump or Melania say "Chicago" at Chicago Opening Night?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$59.88
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$81.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 27.7% 108.32 shares
- Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes 43% 116.28 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No 95.5% 104.73 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No 61% 49.18 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 93% 37.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No 79% 75.95 shares
- Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?No 83% 60.24 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 80% 37.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No 87% 114.94 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 70.3% 49.79 shares