Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- User PnL
- -$6.76
Polymarket Trader
0x896e...56f6
0x896e1d27669ef44096f0232c8ad7ffe122e756f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $57.61
- Realized PnL
- $5.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.75
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- User PnL
- -$5.86
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4PM ET
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.43
- Potential profit
- $7.43
- User PnL
- -$6.02
No position
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.83
- Potential profit
- $6.83
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.91
- Potential profit
- $5.91
- User PnL
- -$5.77
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $5.9
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 7.94x
- User PnL
- -$5.15
No position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $5.89
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $5.74
- Potential payout
- $5.89
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.88
- Potential payout
- $5.89
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $5.76
- Potential payout
- $5.89
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $5.7
- Potential payout
- $5.89
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.89
- Potential payout
- $5.89
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $5.73
- Potential payout
- $5.89
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.64
- Potential payout
- $5.65
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the National Movement of Amhara (NaMA) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.63
- Potential payout
- $5.64
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $5.63
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
XRP Up or Down - November 4, 4PM ET
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Saint Louis Billikens position
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Saint Louis Billikens
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Marquette Golden Eagles position
Southern Jaguars vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Evelyn Matthei win less than 9% of votes in the first round?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?No 99.9% 5.6 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 15 2026?No 99.9% 5.66 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on June 19, 2026?No 99.9% 5.66 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No 98.9% 5.71 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?No 99.6% 5.67 shares
- Will Constance N. Johnson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?No 99.8% 5.66 shares
- Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?No 99.8% 5.65 shares
- Will Sabrina Carpenter attend UFC Freedom 250?No 99.9% 5.65 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No 99.9% 5.64 shares
- Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 10?Up 99.9% 5.65 shares
- Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?No 99.8% 5.66 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 1?No 99.8% 5.64 shares