Polymarket Trader

0x89741D8c76E165cC49d4Ce68374bB022754CBeDE-1763057208181

0x89741d8c76e165cc49d4ce68374bb022754cbede

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.39K
Realized PnL: $30.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25K
Potential profit: $25.25K
User PnL: -$1.13K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63K
Potential profit: $15.63K
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.23K
Potential profit: $12.23K
User PnL: -$29.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $8.5K
User PnL: -$1.34K

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$262.45

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$58.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.35K
Potential profit: $6.35K
User PnL: -$3.53K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.4K
Potential profit: $5.4K
User PnL: -$1.8K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.4K
Potential profit: $5.4K
User PnL: -$1.55K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.95K
Potential profit: $4.95K
User PnL: -$297

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.81K
Potential profit: $3.81K
User PnL: -$2.44K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.25K
Potential profit: $3.25K
User PnL: -$655.23

Paddy Pimblett position

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $3.11K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $77.87

Tate position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $3.08K
User PnL: -$2.5K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$1.46K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.56K
User PnL: -$1.34K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$215.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$107.29

Pimblett position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.77K
User PnL: -$228.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$193.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$481.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.15K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02K

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27K

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

OMalley position

UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $787.59

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $768.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $739.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $733.77

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $691.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $570.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $524.81

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $519.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $490.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $481.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.87

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $459.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 61.4% 35.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

No 57% 484.37 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

No 70% 186.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

No 80.8% 33.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

No 80% 506.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 800 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Yes 3.1% 937.99 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?

No 46% 140.39 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?

No 45.9% 83.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 2,249.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Yes 23.4% 7.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Yes 23.7% 1,000 shares