No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $890.61
- Potential profit
- $890.61
- User PnL
- -$109.35
Polymarket Trader
ghoan
0x897a960452f8943b450d382f254522d992a74194
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.4K
- Realized PnL
- $2.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $711.32
- Potential payout
- $880.34
- Potential profit
- $169.03
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$31.86
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $837.63
- Potential profit
- $837.63
- User PnL
- -$235.19
Yes position
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $491.27
- Potential payout
- $805.36
- Potential profit
- $314.09
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $212.68
Y
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $318.06
- Potential payout
- $757.28
- Potential profit
- $439.22
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $161
No position
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $748.59
- Potential profit
- $748.59
- User PnL
- -$153.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $329.87
- Potential payout
- $724.99
- Potential profit
- $395.12
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $16.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $573.46
- Potential payout
- $670.72
- Potential profit
- $97.25
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $72.47
No position
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $534.51
- Potential payout
- $647.89
- Potential profit
- $113.38
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$9.1
Yes position
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $106.62
- Potential payout
- $646.18
- Potential profit
- $539.56
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$32.77
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.07
- Potential payout
- $614.95
- Potential profit
- $611.88
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$87.08
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $602.3
- Potential profit
- $601.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$56.61
Yes position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $596
- Potential profit
- $596
- User PnL
- -$68.28
Y
Yes position
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $552.66
- Potential profit
- $552.66
- User PnL
- -$35.3
Yes position
Will Jake Paul attend UFC Freedom 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $529.72
- Potential profit
- $529.72
- User PnL
- -$54.44
No position
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $527.37
- Potential profit
- $527.37
- User PnL
- -$139.63
Y
Yes position
Will Olivia Rodrigo have 4 songs in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $257.94
- Potential payout
- $511.38
- Potential profit
- $253.44
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $167.44
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $29.45
- Potential payout
- $420.69
- Potential profit
- $391.24
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$91.35
No position
Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $407.78
- Potential profit
- $407.78
- User PnL
- -$24.34
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $375.5
- Potential profit
- $375.5
- User PnL
- -$18.3
Yes position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.74
- Potential profit
- $357.74
- User PnL
- -$80.3
No position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $353.37
- Potential profit
- $353.37
- User PnL
- -$19.32
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $345.56
- Potential profit
- $345.56
- User PnL
- -$217.64
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $39.42
- Potential payout
- $342.8
- Potential profit
- $303.38
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$93.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $456.73
No position
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.54
No position
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.72
No position
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.22
No position
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.1
No position
Will Tom Vo advance from the CA-45 primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.72
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.82
No position
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.28
Yes position
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.77
Yes position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.89
Yes position
Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.81
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.05
No position
DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.43
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.35
No position
DoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.02
No position
Will Ralph Nwobi advance from the CA-07 primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.73
No position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.75
No position
Spotify Monthly Active Users above 780M in Q1?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.24
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.4
No position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.14
No position
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.09
No position
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.16
No position
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.17
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?Yes 77% 6.39 shares
- Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?Yes 77% 6.39 shares
- Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027?No 72.6% 5.58 shares
- Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027?No 72% 5.63 shares
- Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027?No 72.6% 5.58 shares
- Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027?No 72% 5.63 shares
- Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027?No 72% 5.63 shares
- Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027?No 72% 5.63 shares
- Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027?No 71.1% 5.63 shares
- Will one person dissent the July Fed decision?Yes 12.2% 11.78 shares
- Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 82% 10.24 shares
- Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 82.7% 13.2 shares