Polymarket Trader

MAGA-2026

0x89813a72d2ce8ce6546887230193b75e441dce82

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $492.49
Realized PnL: $2.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$1.01K

Yes position

Will Netflix dip to $75.30 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$325.71

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$284.6

Over position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.67
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $346.32
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$6.92

Over position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305
Potential profit: $305
User PnL: -$7.74

Yes position

Will Netflix dip to $91 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$33.05

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $152.72
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $7.28
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.63

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 62.2%
Current value: $93.23
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $56.78
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$4.22

Over position

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$6.97

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $90
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $86.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$9.68

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.99
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $33.16
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.34
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $25.67
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $5.66
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $24.35
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: -$1.84

Over position

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $20.01
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.56
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.91
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.73
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.25
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$2.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.1

Over position

Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.58

Over position

Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $143.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112.18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.96

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.5

No position

Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Egypt?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.98

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.46

No position

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.43

Under position

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.63

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.13

No position

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.84

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?

No 87% 100 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5

Over 9.5% 100 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 16.3% 30 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 71% 10 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5

Under 39% 10 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 32% 50 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5

Over 21% 45 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5

Over 9.3% 50 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5

Over 4.5% 100 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5

Over 6% 48.34 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5

Over 6.1% 29.99 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?

No 81% 10 shares