Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $13.46
- Potential payout
- $69
- Potential profit
- $55.55
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Polymarket Trader
Josiah313
0x89902eebc9fc716967b2f2ddd66f857f92b85308
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.46
- Realized PnL
- $5.22
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Trump say "the blacks" by March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 67°F or higher on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 44°F or below on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 14% 14 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 68% 38 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 92% 54 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 92% 54 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 49% 8 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 49% 69 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 95.1% 47 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 4.5% 30 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 4.3% 30 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 62% 72 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 62% 72 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 56% 1 shares