Yes position
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $49.59
- Potential payout
- $551
- Potential profit
- $501.41
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$55.1
Polymarket Trader
ScottRoth2230
@AdaiahRole60131
0x89961f6c262824bf40fb10287a9d0789b7d99c76
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.4
- Realized PnL
- $5.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $63
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $14.31
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $3.69
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.36
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $551.1
Over position
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.08
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $343.17
Yes position
Will Trump post "Democrat Shutdown" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $336.8
Yes position
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $326.76
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.42
Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51%
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $280.8
No position
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.67
No position
Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.28
Yes position
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.8
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.43
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $171.2
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $167.84
No position
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.2
Yes position
Will Trump post "New York Times" this week on Truth Social?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.9
No position
Will the Miami Heat win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104.52
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.76
No position
Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.02
Yes position
Will North West release an album by December 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.36
Yes position
>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.15
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.59
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.85
No position
Will Trump post "Hillary" or "Clinton" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?No 78.8% 940 shares
- Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?No 77% 51 shares
- Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?No 60% 422 shares
- Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?No 60% 79 shares
- Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?No 69% 72.4 shares
- Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?No 68% 58 shares
- Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No 79% 22 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No 68% 385 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 79% 607 shares
- Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?No 8% 357 shares
- Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?No 8% 592 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 80% 11 shares