Polymarket Trader

wev

@ChochoGadi

0x899cb6ed3b50684bd188f7c17745479ed3aad868

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $204.3
Realized PnL: $6.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$104.55

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $539.85
Potential profit: $539.85
User PnL: -$30.92

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$18.5

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.49
Potential profit: $499.49
User PnL: -$8.43

Yes position

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$74

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $80.4
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $159.6
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$65.6

No position

Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.29
Potential profit: $225.29
User PnL: -$28.65

Yes position

Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,230,000 and $1,330,000 by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$24.4

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4.3

Yes position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$7.3

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$12.7

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $11.2
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.8
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$29.8

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$35.4

Yes position

Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.49
Potential profit: $176.49
User PnL: -$11.15

No position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$122.6

No position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$42.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$11.65

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$10.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$0.65

No position

Will Trump say "Usha" at the Congressional Ball on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.99
User PnL: -$80.9

No position

Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $112.7
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $27.3
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $102.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

Red Sox position

Royals vs. Red Sox

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $884.18

No position

Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $472.17

Falcons position

Falcons vs. Saints

Ends Sep 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.36

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.19

No position

Will Southampton beat Bournemouth?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.99

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173

Chargers position

Titans vs. Chargers

Ends Nov 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.79

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $141

No position

Will Donald Trump say "border" 30 or more times during his Michigan town hall?

Ends Sep 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.55

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $98.1

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.65

No position

Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $83

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81

Yes position

Will Trump say "401k" at the Congressional Ball on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.75

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.5

Yes position

Will the VP debate have 40-45m viewers?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.38

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.08

Prates position

Magny vs. Prates

Ends Nov 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.9

Yes position

U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.67

Yes position

Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?

Yes 24.6% 72.65 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

No 90.5% 10 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

No 85% 200 shares
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office

Michael 89% 26 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

No 71.8% 76.41 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 46.5% 13.61 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 31.2% 62.44 shares
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

No 52.6% 38.36 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 65.6% 14.41 shares
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?

Yes 46% 14.5 shares
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 82.1% 100 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 41% 15.93 shares