Yes position
Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.45K
- Potential profit
- $26.45K
- User PnL
- -$9.24K
Polymarket Trader
Chad-Wasp
0x899d495a5e1ca2c1b415b8a2c87edb026f7607c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $213.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.29K
- Potential profit
- $15.29K
- User PnL
- -$4.76K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.6K
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.57K
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.8K
No position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.53K
Yes position
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75K
No position
Was Caitlyn Jenner hacked?
Ends May 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02K
Kamala position
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.56K
Yes position
Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "liquid gold" 3 or more times during his Michigan town hall?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62K
Yes position
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75K
No position
Will Caitlyn Jenner sue Sahil?
Ends Jun 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21K
No position
Will JD Vance say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Joe Rogan podcast?
Ends Oct 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "border" 25 or more times during his Pennsylvania rally?
Ends Sep 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "McDonald's" during his Pennsylvania rally?
Ends Sep 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73K
No position
The Thiel Parlay
Ends Nov 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41K
Yes position
Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4K
No position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
Yes position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
Yes position
SEC approves first spot Bitcoin ETF on Jan 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
No position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Joe Rogan Experience?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
No position
Biden drops out by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Solana ETF approved in 2024?No 95.9% 0.5 shares
- Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?No 59% 0.44 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No 97.1% 0.21 shares
- Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?No 93% 0.16 shares
- Will Biden finish his term?Yes 92% 0.11 shares
- Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes 94.5% 0.11 shares
- Will Trump nominate Marc Rowan for Treasury Secretary?Yes 32.3% 59 shares
- Will Trump nominate Marc Rowan for Treasury Secretary?Yes 26.3% 480 shares
- Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes 99.8% 7,625.33 shares
- Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes 99.8% 6,247.38 shares
- Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes 99.7% 22,987.28 shares
- Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?No 98.6% 34,141.61 shares