Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $497.69
- Potential profit
- $497.69
- User PnL
- -$123.32
Polymarket Trader
tw1es1b91
0x89a5549778c182c9c688567113c93c43c93539f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $894.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$63.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.57
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or below on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 8 above $240?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 13 above $290?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 March 9-15?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $155?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETDown 21.2% 300 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 8 above $240?No 99.8% 132.33 shares
- Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?No 99.9% 132.63 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 13 above $290?No 99.8% 132.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or below on April 11?No 99.7% 132.31 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?No 99.9% 131.99 shares
- Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?No 99.8% 153 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETUp 14.8% 673.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETUp 17% 83.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETUp 34% 457.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETUp 99% 520.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETDown 49.9% 142.69 shares