Yes position
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $18.38
- Potential payout
- $5.25K
- Potential profit
- $5.23K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Polymarket Trader
Oxr8i91c1Dd
0x89cdd8a35d8ec565f5e849689e8b9e22fec148a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $221.57
- Realized PnL
- $432.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $453.86
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Yes position
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $331.33
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $10.31
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $198.02
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $84.28
- Potential payout
- $114.67
- Potential profit
- $30.39
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $9.28
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.46
- Potential profit
- $78.46
- User PnL
- -$38.07
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $38.76
- Potential payout
- $45.33
- Potential profit
- $6.57
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $34.82
- Potential payout
- $41.7
- Potential profit
- $6.88
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $5.21
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Current value
- $32.34
- Potential payout
- $40.3
- Potential profit
- $7.96
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $5.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.5
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310–325 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.33
No position
Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $275M?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.17
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.97
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.59
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.83
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.82
No position
Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $300M?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Syria strikes Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Erdoğan out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.4% 4,000 shares
- Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 96.8% 5.05 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 71% 41.7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 76% 9.6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No 36% 55 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 70% 10 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 69% 21.74 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 40% 30 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 40% 50 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 84% 40.33 shares
- Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $300M?No 86% 30.61 shares