Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $10.52
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Polymarket Trader
JustLuck-believeinmeineverlied
0x8a03f2eda3f6688cdf00fd5f88f9b5dea92ccf2d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.98
- Realized PnL
- $50.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.3%
- Current value
- $3.57
- Potential payout
- $4.62
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $4.4
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $4.07
- Potential profit
- $2.59
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $3.24
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $2.89
- Potential profit
- $1.78
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $2.29
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $2.29
- Potential profit
- $2.01
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $2.29
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $1.69
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.4%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $1.58
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.53
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.36
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 28?Yes 48% 2.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?Yes 69.8% 1.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 28?Yes 82.5% 2.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?Yes 38% 2.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 28?Yes 81% 1.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?Yes 27% 4.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?Yes 25% 4.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 28?Yes 48% 2.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 28?Yes 53% 2.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?Yes 48% 2.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?Yes 65% 1.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 28?Yes 34% 3.24 shares