Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $96
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4
Polymarket Trader
xiaoaojianghu55
@delaynie12989
0x8a087e63815029ce18c94687be029707177802a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $96
- Realized PnL
- $431.92
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.73
- Potential profit
- $53.73
- User PnL
- -$8.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.25
Yes position
Will SpaceX have exactly 9 launches in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Down position
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will "BAILE INoLVIDABLE - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Amazon dip to $168 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Amazon dip to $148 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$165 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Meituan have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Lakers position
Thunder vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?No 16% 53.73 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?Yes 92% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 99.1% 101.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 15?No 99.7% 100.3 shares
- Will Amazon dip to $168 in April?No 99.9% 100.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp 22.2% 269.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETDown 30.6% 190 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETDown 14% 187.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETUp 3% 186.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETUp 6% 279.7 shares
- Thunder vs. LakersLakers 6% 150.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETDown 87.1% 107.99 shares