Polymarket Trader

Rogerfx

0x8a17781573aaa0f9b18c323cca8b50adf29c7c9c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: -$253.04
Win rate: 13.3%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.87K
Potential profit: $3.87K
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.75K
User PnL: -$15

No position

S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.07
Potential profit: $48.07
User PnL: -$19.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.41
Potential profit: $27.41
User PnL: -$9.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.32
Potential profit: $13.32
User PnL: -$3.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.62

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.98

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 8,000 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 20,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Up 23% 8.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Up 42% 4.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Up 36% 27.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Up 41% 47.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Up 97% 9.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Up 54% 8.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Up 1% 499.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Down 1% 499.98 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?

Yes 9% 333.33 shares