Polymarket Trader

eravdgfdf

0x8a1c34cc5c2f83e442fa2cf7f96d3486123878d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.91
Realized PnL: $5.3
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

UFC Fight Night: Mingyang and Sterling

Ends Aug 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Imavov position

UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $111K on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Trump say "Brazil" this week?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Mary Sheffield win the 2025 Detroit mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Benfica win on 2025-08-12?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 74% 1.35 shares
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Yes 77% 1.3 shares
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Yes 56% 1.79 shares
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Yes 61% 1.64 shares
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?

Yes 69.9% 1.43 shares
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Yes 71.1% 1.41 shares
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?

Yes 70% 1.43 shares
TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Yes 69% 1.45 shares
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho

Imavov 48% 2.08 shares
UFC Fight Night: Mingyang and Sterling

Yes 58% 1.72 shares
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 57.1% 1.75 shares
Will Benfica win on 2025-08-12?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares