Polymarket Trader

itoldu

0x8a2f165f8c3e0265cd05f559834e7b59ca4bb23e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.17K
Realized PnL: $438.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $66.87
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$33.13

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $165.73
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $957.87
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $65.73

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $81.68
Potential payout: $990.1
Potential profit: $908.42
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$18.32

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $975.03
Potential profit: $974.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.51

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $88.94
Potential payout: $884.96
Potential profit: $796.02
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$11.06

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $116.98
Potential payout: $617.28
Potential profit: $500.31
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $16.98

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $84.88
Potential payout: $617.28
Potential profit: $532.41
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$15.12

Felix Auger-Aliassime position

Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $344.83
User PnL: -$200

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $233.56
Potential payout: $313.51
Potential profit: $79.94
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $4.7

Karmine Corp position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$100

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.12
Potential profit: $114.12
User PnL: -$89.01

No position

Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $97.86
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $4.18
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $7.04

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $101.78
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$18.11

Yes position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in June?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $101.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$33.62

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $101.18
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$16.52

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $97.82
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$8.06

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $77.5
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $69.49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $30.51
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$1.51

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $80.28
Potential payout: $81.26
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $8.64

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $81.2
Potential profit: $80.23
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$9.06

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $47.7
Potential payout: $51.02
Potential profit: $3.32
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $51.01
Potential profit: $47.69
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.32

Yes position

Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$11.7

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $28.3
Potential profit: $22.4
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$0.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under 2.5 position

Jannik Sinner vs. Andrea Pellegrino: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.99

Under 2.5 position

Jannik Sinner vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.35

Under 2.5 position

Jannik Sinner vs. Alexei Popyrin: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.8

Conviction position

LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.73

Jannik Sinner position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.39

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

Karmine Corp position

LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.26

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.59

Yes position

Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.12

Casper Ruud position

Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.19

Yes position

Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $11.65

Jannik Sinner position

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.62

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $10.56

Jannik Sinner position

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.54

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.01

Felix Auger-Aliassime position

Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

NIP position

Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.21

Alexandra Eala position

Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Alina Charaeva

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.79

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $8.49

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,900 November 10-16?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

No position

Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Ethereum all time high by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 24?

No 62.7% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?

Yes 37% 7 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Yes 13% 51 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Yes 55% 102.04 shares
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 47% 21.09 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 14.4% 35.07 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?

No 65.3% 102.04 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 89.9% 23.13 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 89.9% 22.99 shares
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

Yes 12% 102 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?

Yes 12% 12.39 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?

Yes 12% 6.3 shares