Polymarket Trader

0x8A2f68Dee7Ec56AF61CA9b224154E371D2180A6b-1779724656768

0x8a2f68dee7ec56af61ca9b224154e371d2180a6b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.83K
Realized PnL: $454.39
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $498.67
Potential payout: $530.22
Potential profit: $31.55
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $91.91
Potential payout: $490.2
Potential profit: $398.28
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $41.91

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.3%
Current value: $98.32
Potential payout: $304.88
Potential profit: $206.55
Multiplier: 3.10x
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $55.08
Potential payout: $274.73
Potential profit: $219.64
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $5.08

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $96.34
Potential payout: $130.19
Potential profit: $33.85
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $102.98
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $16.07
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.98

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $98.19
Potential payout: $116.82
Potential profit: $18.63
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$1.81

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $99.42
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $16.86
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $103.98
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $9.66
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.98

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $99.44
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $11.67
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $91.76
Potential payout: $109.89
Potential profit: $18.13
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$8.24

No position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $102.72
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $5.98
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $101.48
Potential payout: $105.82
Potential profit: $4.34
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $99.48
Potential payout: $104.82
Potential profit: $5.35
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39.2%
Current value: $23.03
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $35.79
Multiplier: 2.55x
User PnL: $3.03

Max Holloway position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $28.88
Potential payout: $44.78
Potential profit: $15.9
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $30.81
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $1.69
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.39

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.42

United States position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

Spain position

Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will anyone say "Morty" 10+ times during Rick and Morty E4 S9?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 4% 250 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 46% 217.39 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 46% 21.74 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 47% 21.28 shares
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

No 86% 116.28 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

No 90% 111.11 shares
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?

Yes 86% 11.63 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 93% 32.26 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 73% 136.99 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 85.6% 116.82 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.3% 530.22 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Max Holloway 67% 44.78 shares