Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$24.77
Polymarket Trader
publicusername1one1
0x8a333fd44113e68101104bc0623579bca13741f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $300.91
- Realized PnL
- $81.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285
- Potential profit
- $285
- User PnL
- -$35.99
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $95.88
- Potential payout
- $278
- Potential profit
- $182.12
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$29.22
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.22
- Potential profit
- $200.22
- User PnL
- -$51.88
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $134.51
- Potential payout
- $147
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $59.02
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $17.33
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $87.68
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$66.75
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.6
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$8.1
No position
Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $57.03
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $59.99
- User PnL
- -$32.61
No position
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $48.83
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 45% 278 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 19% 105 shares
- Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?No 5.6% 20 shares
- Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?No 3.8% 40 shares
- Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No 91.1% 50 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 9.5% 100 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 19% 72 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 11% 95.75 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 4.5% 100 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 44% 100 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 65% 100 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 17% 185 shares