Polymarket Trader

CapitalManager

0x8a39b9ef861a826fa5293494a764011cda1b14c8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.24K
Realized PnL: $26.28
Win rate: 14.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $159.08
Potential payout: $303
Potential profit: $143.93
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $258.87
Potential payout: $259
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $30.95

No position

Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $248
Potential profit: $247.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$34.6

No position

Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $90.45
Potential payout: $229
Potential profit: $138.54
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$1.15

No position

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $42.94
Potential payout: $225.99
Potential profit: $183.05
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $170.13
Potential payout: $214
Potential profit: $43.87
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $18.19

New Zealand position

Spread: Belgium (-2.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.53
Potential profit: $210.53
User PnL: -$120

No position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $49.74
Potential payout: $203
Potential profit: $153.27
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$5.08

No position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $94.58
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $100.43
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$12.68

No position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $165.87
Potential payout: $194
Potential profit: $28.13
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.91

No position

Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $149.58
Potential payout: $193
Potential profit: $43.43
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $21.57
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $168.44
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$4.85

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $159.7
Potential payout: $188.99
Potential profit: $29.29
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $23.62

Karmine Corp position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $162
Potential payout: $181
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $147.05
Potential payout: $173
Potential profit: $25.95
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $5.19

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$56

Under position

New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154
Potential profit: $154
User PnL: -$70.84

No position

Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $138.98
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $11.03
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $18.5
Potential payout: $148
Potential profit: $129.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.74

No position

Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $56.24
Potential payout: $148
Potential profit: $91.76
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $62.16
Potential payout: $148
Potential profit: $85.84
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$22.2

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $138.86
Potential payout: $139
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $38.78

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 62.2%
Current value: $79.55
Potential payout: $128
Potential profit: $48.45
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $71.67
Potential payout: $111.99
Potential profit: $40.32
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$4.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Türkiye position

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.28

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Romelu Lukaku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Uruguay position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Romelu Lukaku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 75% 5 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 83.8% 102 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 62.1% 128 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

No 72% 188.99 shares
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 68% 60 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?

Yes 72% 120.73 shares
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 40% 4.87 shares
Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Uruguay 69% 144 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Yes 13% 268 shares
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 57% 148 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Yes 13% 268 shares
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 13% 148 shares