Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $22.7
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Polymarket Trader
0xfb784B1FfAe0005e640726582F7731EaA2f06dA6-1767013771631
0x8a3f4b0c93dd2fe3876b6a592942d739c4ae83f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.92
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $9.38
- Potential profit
- $6.42
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $6.01
- Potential payout
- $6.15
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $3.11
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.07
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 87% 1.15 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28?Yes 98.4% 1.02 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95.3% 1.05 shares
- Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes 32% 9.38 shares
- Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No 99.2% 1.01 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?No 92% 1.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No 95.9% 1.04 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.6% 3.11 shares
- Will Venezuela become 51st state?No 96.5% 1.04 shares
- Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No 96.9% 1.03 shares
- Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?No 97.6% 1.02 shares