Polymarket Trader

Vingtoft

0x8a48aba187d3cb1695ed408c0112df03eddc7bc7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.63K
Realized PnL: $1.39K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $131.47K
Potential profit: $130.09K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $796.44

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $170
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $44.45
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$55.55

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $562.5
Potential profit: $562.5
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $36.54
Potential payout: $384.59
Potential profit: $348.05
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$48.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $757.79

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.29

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.18

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $66.67

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.8

No position

Israel strike on Iran on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.29

Yes position

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.56

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.15

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.24

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.58

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.62

No position

Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.84

No position

Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.57

Yes position

Israel strike on Iran on June 24?

Ends Jun 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

No position

US forces in Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$4.07

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$6.56

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.24

No position

Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 1.6% 562.5 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 7.8% 1,288.46 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 59% 108.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Down 61% 40.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 76% 6.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 75% 6.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 75% 6.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 92% 27.17 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8.6% 452.31 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 9.5% 452.32 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 10% 2,000 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.5% 112.89 shares