Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $62.57K
- Potential payout
- $106.95K
- Potential profit
- $44.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $15.32K
Polymarket Trader
theo5
0x8a4c788f043023b8b28a762216d037e9f148532b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $266.88K
- Realized PnL
- $1.21M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $46.99K
- Potential payout
- $101.06K
- Potential profit
- $54.07K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $11.19K
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $49.51K
- Potential payout
- $100.02K
- Potential profit
- $50.51K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $4.8K
- Potential payout
- $85K
- Potential profit
- $80.2K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $267.58
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $77.68K
- Potential profit
- $75.78K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $28.74K
- Potential payout
- $29.04K
- Potential profit
- $304.94
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.83K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $27.61K
- Potential payout
- $28.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $11.96K
- Potential payout
- $25.73K
- Potential profit
- $13.76K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $7.41K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $380.35
- Potential payout
- $24.54K
- Potential profit
- $24.16K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $306.73
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $197.24
- Potential payout
- $18.79K
- Potential profit
- $18.59K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$143.09
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $4.52K
- Potential payout
- $18.1K
- Potential profit
- $13.57K
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $2.59K
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17K
- Potential profit
- $17K
- User PnL
- -$1.55K
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $6.99K
- Potential payout
- $15.37K
- Potential profit
- $8.38K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$79.19
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $623.36
- Potential payout
- $13.7K
- Potential profit
- $13.08K
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$8.84
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $3.67K
- Potential payout
- $11.84K
- Potential profit
- $8.17K
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$3.33K
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $2.18K
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $7.52K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.97K
- Potential payout
- $9.6K
- Potential profit
- $7.63K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $907.95
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $6.28K
- Potential payout
- $7.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $945.84
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $138
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.86K
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$442.22
Yes position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $5.8K
- Potential profit
- $4.67K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $87
Yes position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.37K
- Potential profit
- $5.37K
- User PnL
- -$37.58
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $5.18K
- Potential profit
- $4.17K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $388.37
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $567.85
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $3.35K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$263.9
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $3.13K
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $664.71
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $532.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?
Ends Jan 6, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1526430.04x
- User PnL
- $138.33K
No position
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.25K
Yes position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.67K
Yes position
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2485087.40x
- User PnL
- $64.96K
Yes position
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
Ends Nov 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.67K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.23K
No position
Biden wins the Popular Vote?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.18K
Yes position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.41K
No position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022?
Ends Oct 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2556974.83x
- User PnL
- $51.02K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.56K
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.47K
Under position
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 137.5
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.27K
No position
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.05K
No position
Will the Brooklyn Nets make the 2022 NBA playoffs?
Ends Apr 16, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 5407082.06x
- User PnL
- $43.88K
Yes position
Golf: Will Jordan Spieth win the 2022 Masters Tournament?
Ends Apr 11, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1220591.20x
- User PnL
- $38.07K
No position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.6K
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 25, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 3309577.53x
- User PnL
- $34.94K
No position
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 25, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2532622.46x
- User PnL
- $34.37K
Democratic position
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?
Ends Nov 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 793924.87x
- User PnL
- $33.32K
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.26K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.05K
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.36K
Yes position
Biden wins the Popular Vote?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.06K
Under position
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 146.5
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.37K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Yes 22% 241.78 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Yes 37% 215.21 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Yes 51% 549.64 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes 61% 1,628.48 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 37.8% 600 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 37% 300 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 93.7% 0.14 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 93.8% 15,783.76 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No 12% 5,500 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No 11% 4,200 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?Yes 99.2% 9,646.81 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?Yes 99% 10,000 shares