No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $724
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $76
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $236
Polymarket Trader
0x8a5BC30bED6f1C977709414c9F8F86aE4bA15c52-1772465415165
0x8a5bc30bed6f1c977709414c9f8f86ae4ba15c52
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.13K
- Realized PnL
- $288.68
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $770.79
- Potential profit
- $770.79
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $410.51
- Potential payout
- $746.38
- Potential profit
- $335.87
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$89.49
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $720.85
- Potential profit
- $720.85
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $282.47
- Potential profit
- $282.47
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.93
- Potential profit
- $208.93
- User PnL
- -$117
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.91
- Potential profit
- $196.91
- User PnL
- -$51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.52
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.3
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 69% 579.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 60% 166.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 61% 800 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99.1% 300 shares
- Iran leadership change by April 30?No 77% 200 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 67% 300 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 99.9% 704.22 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 56% 208.93 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 70% 142.86 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 71% 704.23 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes 41% 244.02 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?Yes 3.9% 770.79 shares