Polymarket Trader

caiseran

0x8a7695a645d02333c60f5ebdd630e634448353de

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $16.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $807

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $680.97

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $542.56

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.82

Yes position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.41

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.28

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $218.55

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.08

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.4%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $207.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.2

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.61

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 29% 3,439.69 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 39.6% 2,631.57 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 28% 4.86 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 28% 1,000.96 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 19% 2,631.58 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 99.9% 480.76 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score

Yes 47% 514.17 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 52% 480.77 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99.9% 999.85 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 0.4% 305.18 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 78.8% 999.86 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 2.9% 28,144.64 shares