No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.98K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- User PnL
- $42.51
Polymarket Trader
0xB16B00B5
0x8a7b576b7a53ef54876f9eca18bcd84f12d8782f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.81K
- Realized PnL
- $23.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $16.61
- Potential payout
- $4.15K
- Potential profit
- $4.14K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $8.3
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.48K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- User PnL
- $24.16
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.66K
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $78.35
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $138.31
Yes position
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $7.03
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $4.22
No position
Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $6.15
- User PnL
- $8.97
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $963.04
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $46.97
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $362.75
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $20.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $979.51
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $895
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $105
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $949.69
- Potential payout
- $996.53
- Potential profit
- $46.84
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $43.85
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $376.51
- Potential payout
- $929.66
- Potential profit
- $553.15
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $69.72
No position
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $779.14
- Potential payout
- $890.44
- Potential profit
- $111.31
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $134.68
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $777.91
- Potential payout
- $818.42
- Potential profit
- $40.51
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $20.54
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $798
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $678.98
- Potential payout
- $742.05
- Potential profit
- $63.07
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $48.23
Yes position
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $24.15
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $675.85
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$4.55
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $650.44
- Potential payout
- $681.09
- Potential profit
- $30.65
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $26.45
No position
JD Vance out as VP by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $662.89
- Potential payout
- $665.22
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- User PnL
- $3.66
Yes position
Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $641.81
- Potential profit
- $640.84
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $514.43
- Potential payout
- $623.55
- Potential profit
- $109.12
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $43.57
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.41
- Potential payout
- $602.25
- Potential profit
- $599.84
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $550.78
- Potential payout
- $592.24
- Potential profit
- $41.46
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.92
Yes position
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $536.61
- Potential profit
- $535.27
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Texans position
Dolphins vs. Texans
Ends Dec 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33K
No position
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
Fed rate hike in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $951.04
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $938.87
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $933.18
Yes position
Trump x Xi talk before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $929.34
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $919.12
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $894.63
No position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $826.42
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $498.12
No position
US civil war before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.17
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.02
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $459.09
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.99
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.01
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421.33
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.23
No position
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.77
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.04
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No 60% 48.35 shares
- Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?No 94% 10.16 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes 29% 7.04 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes 33% 434 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes 33% 500 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes 40% 121.32 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?No 99.6% 1,000 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes 6.5% 21.64 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 4% 125 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 241.7 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 96.9% 480 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes 11.1% 136.73 shares