Yes position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $783.47
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$211.56
Polymarket Trader
0x8A8cbDbaC429DD5d0f3fB15109e1d5a9cE8428dB-1772485751316
0x8a8cbdbac429dd5d0f3fb15109e1d5a9ce8428db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.07K
- Realized PnL
- $207.6
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $216.18
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $77.94
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $16.18
Yes position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $74.39
- Potential payout
- $171.02
- Potential profit
- $96.63
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$17.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.88
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.35
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.31
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.07
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.18
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.09
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.24
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.48
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.95
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.16
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$13.17
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: April
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 49.8% 426.09 shares
- Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 54% 171.02 shares
- Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 68% 294.12 shares
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 57.6% 754.63 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.3% 445.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 81.8% 239.38 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 95.4% 189.54 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 361.59 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 52% 361.6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.9% 206.4 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 95% 52.63 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?No 66.6% 75.03 shares