Yes position
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $148
- Potential profit
- $147.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0x8A97320271ECb5CBEA89CFC498C580Dd7b307a54-1762095625953
0x8a97320271ecb5cbea89cfc498c580dd7b307a54
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.07
- Realized PnL
- $7.01
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $14.3
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Raptors position
Bucks vs. Raptors
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 50 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 5.3% 43 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 3.1% 74 shares
- Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 17.2% 105.97 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?Yes 1.6% 129 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 11% 18 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes 12.9% 14 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 1.1% 50 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes 25% 4 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No 69% 15.87 shares
- Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No 63% 7.94 shares