1881aa

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $6.24K
Potential payout: $6.49K
Potential profit: $256.43
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $901.01

Yes position

Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $280.09
Potential payout: $4.38K
Potential profit: $4.1K
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: -$2.48K

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $3.26K
Potential payout: $3.56K
Potential profit: $302.51
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $181.24

Yes position

Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $2.15K
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $735.6
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$111.26

Yes position

o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.45K
Potential payout: $2.62K
Potential profit: $170.53
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $245.17

Yes position

Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.8%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $160.64
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $75.66

Yes position

Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $73.9
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$458.85

Yes position

o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $7.99
User PnL: $63.38

Yes position

Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $804.96
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $313.04
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $175.7

Yes position

Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $601.16
Potential payout: $946.71
Potential profit: $345.55
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$194.04

Yes position

Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $51.21
Potential payout: $853.44
Potential profit: $802.23
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$505.87

Yes position

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $299.12
Potential payout: $520.2
Potential profit: $221.09
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$27.61

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $510
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $345.99
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $54
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $74

Yes position

Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $276.31
Potential payout: $391.93
Potential profit: $115.62
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $44.7

No position

Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $382.62
Potential profit: $382.62
User PnL: -$48.31

No position

Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$234

Yes position

Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $126
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $174
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will Arcium launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $158.19
Potential payout: $221.24
Potential profit: $63.05
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $56.78

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $89
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $111
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $178
Potential profit: $173.11
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$18.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95K

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85K

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09K

Yes position

Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

Yes position

Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $977.83

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $892.63

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $883.69

Yes position

Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $879.32

Yes position

Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $747.19

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $686.5

Yes position

Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?