Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$8
Polymarket Trader
0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604
0x8a98109fb0f1d87d9bfcb4486ba3587b95c51b92
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.91K
- Realized PnL
- $51.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$21.4
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$685.84
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$90.77
No position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$12.27
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $738.91
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.26K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $85.85
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- User PnL
- -$30.03
Yes position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $105.78
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.89K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$618.3
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- User PnL
- -$53.5
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $332.58
- Potential payout
- $3.98K
- Potential profit
- $3.65K
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- $18.25
Yes position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.91K
- Potential profit
- $3.91K
- User PnL
- -$22.33
Yes position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- User PnL
- -$369.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $897.95
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- Multiplier
- 4.18x
- User PnL
- $459.18
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $3.4K
- Potential payout
- $3.65K
- Potential profit
- $255.68
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $218
Yes position
JD Vance out as VP by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $12.53
- Potential payout
- $3.58K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$41.18
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $2.4K
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $831.44
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $435
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$18.3
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$41.29
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- User PnL
- -$84.34
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $894.1
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$128.54
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $297.55
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $4.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 11% 11 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 11.6% 112 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 73% 241 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 16% 1,449.59 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 50.5% 322.4 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 49.5% 13.96 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 12.1% 12.07 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 12.5% 55 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 19% 235.02 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 11% 8.2 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 18% 21.88 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 17% 300 shares