No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $465.8
- Potential payout
- $488
- Potential profit
- $22.2
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $80.28
Polymarket Trader
Avaqdaw
0x8ab08a78787e30ad840fcbbcba106cb27742011d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $465.8
- Realized PnL
- $56.46
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.36
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.55
No position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- -$19.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 83% 141.01 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 83% 348.99 shares
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No 89.6% 313.99 shares
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No 88.7% 313.99 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No 79% 488 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 16.5% 1,650 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 36.7% 581.62 shares