Polymarket Trader

shizahon

0x8acbb2907eaa31449eade34c2f01de7bd57563b2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $169.81
Realized PnL: $290.91
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 October 27-November 2?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.5K
User PnL: -$301

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $3.85K
User PnL: -$7.9

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$14

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$158.1

Yes position

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $11.7
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $588.3
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$30.3

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $121.07
Potential payout: $523
Potential profit: $401.93
Multiplier: 4.32x
User PnL: -$336.46

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $505
Potential profit: $505
User PnL: -$9.64

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $13.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $236.63
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $3.38

Yes position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.45
Potential profit: $239.45
User PnL: -$65.81

Yes position

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $185
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$15.6

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13

No position

Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $8.66
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $53.84
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.34

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-2.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$11.4

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$9

Down position

Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$2.4

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9PM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.98
Potential profit: $9.98
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.02

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.8

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

No position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.53

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.67

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

No position

Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.4

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.6

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.67

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 70% 60 shares
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Mexico 41% 60 shares
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)

Mexico 19% 60 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 13% 120 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Down 58% 8.62 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 87.5% 523 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 0.4% 400 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

No 1.5% 500 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 2.5% 200 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 2.5% 200 shares