Polymarket Trader

0x8adc...ceaf

0x8adc70470b0cd5fd1562be4693d88d6df29bceaf

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $50.46
Realized PnL: $5.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25.51
Potential payout: $25.51
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $20.51

Yes position

Will Jordan Walker advance to the semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $3.87
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$2.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.17
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.17
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

XRP Up or Down - April 21, 6AM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.89

Down position

XRP Up or Down - April 19, 10PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.69

Down position

XRP Up or Down - April 16, 3AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.72

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 10PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.58

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 4AM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.83

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.43

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 1PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.94

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.12

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.79

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 16, 11AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 11AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.09

Atlanta Braves position

Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.43

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 16, 12AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.26

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 12, 8AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.64

Chinese Taipei position

First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solana Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET

Up 75% 6.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10PM ET

Up 81% 6.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9PM ET

Down 81% 6.17 shares
Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

Yes 19.6% 25.51 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 13, 12PM ET

Down 60% 8.33 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 12PM ET

Down 58% 8.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11AM ET

Down 59% 8.47 shares
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 13?

Up 2% 19.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8AM ET

Down 79% 6.33 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 8AM ET

Down 74% 6.76 shares
HYPE Up or Down - July 13, 7AM ET

Up 53% 9.43 shares
XRP Up or Down - July 13, 6AM ET

Down 88% 5.68 shares