Polymarket Trader

fghf11

0x8adcfa246a5927c10a5335ec1cf0fe85578e4008

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $218.61
Realized PnL: $1.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $218.61
Potential payout: $520.51
Potential profit: $301.9
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$57.26

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $291.64
Potential profit: $291.64
User PnL: -$283.77

Yes position

Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.98
Potential profit: $81.98
User PnL: -$79.17

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Zircuit airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.32

Yes position

LayerZero airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.3

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.69

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.62

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

No position

Ethereum all time high by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 11?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 9?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

No position

Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 12?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $190 on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $160 on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $110 on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

No 97.3% 291.64 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Yes 56% 500 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?

Yes 50% 500 shares
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on December 2?

No 99.9% 1,304.64 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 27?

Yes 99.9% 1,303.34 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 25?

No 99.9% 1,302.04 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 23?

No 99.9% 1,300.74 shares
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on November 21?

No 99.9% 1,299.44 shares
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on November 19?

Yes 99.9% 1,298.09 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 17?

No 99.8% 1,296.79 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 16?

No 99.9% 1,294.2 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 15?

No 99.9% 1,292.9 shares