Polymarket Trader

ngmai25

@bitcoincarmine

0x8af96156b730f8f1d072a24d420ee6c1971cc3e8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $142.89
Realized PnL: $6.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.95K
Potential profit: $23.95K
User PnL: -$143.7

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.5K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $18.13
Potential payout: $12.09K
Potential profit: $12.07K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$101.15

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.99K
Potential profit: $10.99K
User PnL: -$70.58

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.57K
Potential profit: $8.57K
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.33K
Potential profit: $5.33K
User PnL: -$25.71

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.26K
Potential profit: $4.26K
User PnL: -$199.75

Yes position

Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $3.96K
User PnL: -$15.49

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $3.23K
User PnL: -$99.6

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.94K
User PnL: -$29.99

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $2.66K
User PnL: -$156.99

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.63K
User PnL: -$449.6

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.28K
User PnL: -$59.99

No position

Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $2.18K
User PnL: -$137.98

No position

Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$118

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$185.99

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $2.09K
User PnL: -$103

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.97K
User PnL: -$88.92

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$117.74

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
User PnL: -$37.12

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $124.76
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $964.81
Multiplier: 8.73x
User PnL: $85.55

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.72
Potential profit: $909.72
User PnL: -$178.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $839.85

Yes position

Will St. John’s win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $769.2

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $485.71

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $482.3

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $475.05

Saint Louis Billikens position

VCU Rams vs. Saint Louis Billikens

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470.24

Providence Friars position

Providence Friars vs. Butler Bulldogs

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470.2

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351.34

St. Johns Red Storm position

St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.63

Lakers position

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.42

No position

Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.66

Georgetown Hoyas position

Spread: Providence Friars (-6.5)

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.48

Yes position

Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA 2K26 Summer League?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186

Yes position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.67

Spurs position

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.05

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.59

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.51

St. Johns Red Storm position

Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.74

Duke Blue Devils position

St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.69

Wake Forest Demon Deacons position

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia Tech Hokies

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.22

Connecticut Huskies position

Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-8.5)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Lakers position

Spread: Thunder (-12.5)

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.06

Providence Friars position

Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-15.5)

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.23

Arizona Wildcats position

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?

Yes 0.6% 2,075.69 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Yes 17.1% 300 shares
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Yes 7% 790 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?

Yes 1.7% 1,012.11 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Yes 3.6% 1,389.56 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

No 60.5% 211.02 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

No 58.8% 211.02 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 25.4% 393.7 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?

Yes 1% 9,000 shares
Spread: Germany (-3.5)

Curaçao 50% 540.7 shares
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Yes 30.5% 162.52 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 15,616.67 shares